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Contextual Reserve Price Optimization in Auctions via Mixed Integer Programming

Neural Information Processing Systems

We study the problem of learning a linear model to set the reserve price in an auction, given contextual information, in order to maximize expected revenue from the seller side. First, we show that it is not possible to solve this problem in polynomial time unless the Exponential Time Hypothesis fails. Second, we present a strong mixed-integer programming (MIP) formulation for this problem, which is capable of exactly modeling the nonconvex and discontinuous expected reward function. Moreover, we show that this MIP formulation is ideal (i.e. the strongest possible formulation) for the revenue function of a single impression. Since it can be computationally expensive to exactly solve the MIP formulation in practice, we also study the performance of its linear programming (LP) relaxation. Though it may work well in practice, we show that, unfortunately, in the worst case the optimal objective of the LP relaxation can be O(number of samples) times larger than the optimal objective of the true problem. Finally, we present computational results, showcasing that the MIP formulation, along with its LP relaxation, are able to achieve superior in-and out-of-sample performance, as compared to state-of-the-art algorithms on both real and synthetic datasets. More broadly, we believe this work offers an indication of the strength of optimization methodologies like MIP to exactly model intrinsic discontinuities in machine learning problems.


Near-optimal Linear Predictive Clustering in Non-separable Spaces via Mixed Integer Programming and Quadratic Pseudo-Boolean Reductions

Liang, Jiazhou, Khurram, Hassan, Sanner, Scott

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Linear Predictive Clustering (LPC) partitions samples based on shared linear relationships between feature and target variables, with numerous applications including marketing, medicine, and education. Greedy optimization methods, commonly used for LPC, alternate between clustering and linear regression but lack global optimality. While effective for separable clusters, they struggle in non-separable settings where clusters overlap in feature space. In an alternative constrained optimization paradigm, Bertsimas and Shioda (2007) formulated LPC as a Mixed-Integer Program (MIP), ensuring global optimality regardless of separability but suffering from poor scalability. This work builds on the constrained optimization paradigm to introduce two novel approaches that improve the efficiency of global optimization for LPC. By leveraging key theoretical properties of separability, we derive near-optimal approximations with provable error bounds, significantly reducing the MIP formulation's complexity and improving scalability. Additionally, we can further approximate LPC as a Quadratic Pseudo-Boolean Optimization (QPBO) problem, achieving substantial computational improvements in some settings. Comparative analyses on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our methods consistently achieve near-optimal solutions with substantially lower regression errors than greedy optimization while exhibiting superior scalability over existing MIP formulations.



Allocating Variance to Maximize Expectation

Leme, Renato Purita Paes, Stein, Cliff, Teng, Yifeng, Worah, Pratik

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We design efficient approximation algorithms for maximizing the expectation of the supremum of families of Gaussian random variables. In particular, let $\mathrm{OPT}:=\max_{\sigma_1,\cdots,\sigma_n}\mathbb{E}\left[\sum_{j=1}^{m}\max_{i\in S_j} X_i\right]$, where $X_i$ are Gaussian, $S_j\subset[n]$ and $\sum_i\sigma_i^2=1$, then our theoretical results include: - We characterize the optimal variance allocation -- it concentrates on a small subset of variables as $|S_j|$ increases, - A polynomial time approximation scheme (PTAS) for computing $\mathrm{OPT}$ when $m=1$, and - An $O(\log n)$ approximation algorithm for computing $\mathrm{OPT}$ for general $m>1$. Such expectation maximization problems occur in diverse applications, ranging from utility maximization in auctions markets to learning mixture models in quantitative genetics.


Contextual Reserve Price Optimization in Auctions via Mixed Integer Programming

Neural Information Processing Systems

We study the problem of learning a linear model to set the reserve price in an auction, given contextual information, in order to maximize expected revenue from the seller side. First, we show that it is not possible to solve this problem in polynomial time unless the Exponential Time Hypothesis fails. Second, we present a strong mixed-integer programming (MIP) formulation for this problem, which is capable of exactly modeling the nonconvex and discontinuous expected reward function. Moreover, we show that this MIP formulation is ideal (i.e. the strongest possible formulation) for the revenue function of a single impression. Since it can be computationally expensive to exactly solve the MIP formulation in practice, we also study the performance of its linear programming (LP) relaxation. Though it may work well in practice, we show that, unfortunately, in the worst case the optimal objective of the LP relaxation can be O(number of samples) times larger than the optimal objective of the true problem.


Group Fairness with Uncertainty in Sensitive Attributes

Shah, Abhin, Shen, Maohao, Ryu, Jongha Jon, Das, Subhro, Sattigeri, Prasanna, Bu, Yuheng, Wornell, Gregory W.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Learning a fair predictive model is crucial to mitigate biased decisions against minority groups in high-stakes applications. A common approach to learn such a model involves solving an optimization problem that maximizes the predictive power of the model under an appropriate group fairness constraint. However, in practice, sensitive attributes are often missing or noisy resulting in uncertainty. We demonstrate that solely enforcing fairness constraints on uncertain sensitive attributes can fall significantly short in achieving the level of fairness of models trained without uncertainty. To overcome this limitation, we propose a bootstrap-based algorithm that achieves the target level of fairness despite the uncertainty in sensitive attributes. The algorithm is guided by a Gaussian analysis for the independence notion of fairness where we propose a robust quadratically constrained quadratic problem to ensure a strict fairness guarantee with uncertain sensitive attributes. Our algorithm is applicable to both discrete and continuous sensitive attributes and is effective in real-world classification and regression tasks for various group fairness notions, e.g., independence and separation.